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Market sentiment is looking ahead to the end of the coronavirus pandemic, probably in the first half of 2021, when an effective vaccine is widely distributed. An end date on the horizon is certainly a good thing for stocks.
We expect a big bounce in 3Q20 global growth, but because an effective COVID-19 vaccine is unlikely until mid- to late-2021, further gains in 4Q20 and 1H21 will prove more difficult.
As U.S. COVID-19 cases increase, so does the risk that economic recovery decelerates. We think policy makers will do what it takes to sustain the recovery, and therefore continue to prefer U.S. equities over bonds.
Highlights from the week of October 9 – October 15, 2020.
Upbeat retail sales pushed U.S. stocks into positive territory on Friday, despite other economic data that pointed to slowing momentum.
Global stocks posted strong weekly gains as markets processed signs that another round of U.S. coronavirus stimulus might be within reach. All 11 S&P 500 sectors posted gains.
Highlights from the week of October 2 – October 8, 2020.
Highlights from the week of September 25 – October 1, 2020.
Market sentiment is looking ahead to the end of the coronavirus pandemic, probably in the first half of 2021, when an effective vaccine is widely distributed. An end date on the horizon is certainly a good thing for stocks.
Highlights from the week of September 18 – September 24, 2020.
We expect a big bounce in 3Q20 global growth, but because an effective COVID-19 vaccine is unlikely until mid- to late-2021, further gains in 4Q20 and 1H21 will prove more difficult.
As U.S. COVID-19 cases increase, so does the risk that economic recovery decelerates. We think policy makers will do what it takes to sustain the recovery, and therefore continue to prefer U.S. equities over bonds.
As May and June numbers are proving out, policy support is the lifeline the economy needs, serving as a bridge to help consumers emerge on the other side of the pandemic intact.