Investment Outlook

Skyscraper in Orange Light

The Fed pivoting to a pause, not to cuts

November 21, 2022

Eyes remain firmly on the Federal Reserve, which has engineered a landscape of materially higher real and nominal rates.

City Street with American Flags

As elections dust settles, markets shift attention back to inflation and the Fed

November 9, 2022

The repercussions of US midterm elections will be felt over the coming months and years, not days. The key is how the results are transmitted to the economy, chiefly through monetary and fiscal policy.  

City Buildings at Dusk

The economy has been resilient, but financial assets remain vulnerable

October 28, 2022

With many aspects of the US economy in decent shape, we believe spread widening in a recession is likely to be limited. Still, investors no longer need to overreach on risk.

Rates are in the driver’s seat

October 27, 2022

US markets have not taken kindly to the Fed’s renewed course of monetary tightening, but the effects of the Fed’s actions are stretching far beyond US shores.

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Lightening the Sails and Monitoring the Storm

July 26, 2022

Risks are rising: the Fed must thread a narrowing needle-eye to stop inflation without causing a recession. We’ve lightened equity positioning and reduced risk within fixed income segments of portfolios.

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