Voya Large-Cap Growth Fund Quarterly Commentary - 3Q23

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Actively managed large cap growth strategy that relies on fundamental research and analysis to identify companies with strong and accelerating business momentum, increasing market acceptance and attractive valuations.

Key Takeaways

  • The bull market run over the first half of the year took a pause as markets pulled back during the third quarter. The specter of a government shutdown was avoided but that has done little to quell market volatility thus far.
  • For the quarter, the Strategy underperformed its benchmark, the Russell 1000 Growth Index (the Index), on net asset value (NAV) basis, primarily due to unfavorable stock selection.
  • There remains a great deal of uncertainty ahead regarding the prospect of slowing economic growth and whether inflation has truly been tamed by the unprecedented rate cuts over the past year. It appears that the U.S. Federal Reserve is nearing the end of the rate hike cycle. We are cautiously optimistic that we can achieve the soft-landing scenario.

Portfolio Review

U.S. equity markets reversed course during the third quarter, weighed down by fears of interest rates remaining higher for longer. The S&P 500 Index fell by –3.27% for the quarter. Energy and information technology stocks led while utilities and consumer staples lagged. Growth stocks modestly outperformed value stocks during the quarter, and large caps beat small caps.

The U.S. bond market remained choppy during the quarter. The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index lost –3.23%, while a surprisingly resilient U.S. economy pushed the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield from 3.86% at the beginning of the quarter to 4.59% by quarter-end. In July, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points, bringing the Fed funds rate to a range of 5.25–5.50%. Rates were held steady at the September meeting, and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks maintained a hawkish tone as he reiterated the central bank’s strong commitment to returning inflation to its 2% target.

For the quarter ended September 30, 2023, the Strategy underperformed the Index on a NAV basis primarily due to unfavorable stock selection. Stock selection in the consumer staples, financials and information technology sectors contributed the most to performance. Unfavorable stock selection in the health care, communication services and consumer discretionary sectors detracted the most.

Key contributors to performance were Apple Inc., Eli Lilly and Co. and Tradeweb Markets, Inc.

An underweight position in Apple Inc. (AAPL) contributed to performance. After a strong first half of the year, AAPL pulled back during the period as Huawei has released a flagship phone and a potential Chinese government iPhone ban could have material near-term impact on sales.

An overweight position to Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY) contributed to performance. The company reported strong earnings during the period and reported particularly strong sales from Mounjaro whose growing market includes both diabetes and obesity.

An overweight position to Tradeweb Markets, Inc. (TW) contributed to performance. The company reported solid earnings during the period, but the larger focus was around management commentary around price increases and increasing volume trends, reporting “mid-double-digit” volume and revenue growth through July.

Key detractors from performance were Alphabet Inc., Las Vegas Sands Corp. and Keysight Technologies Inc.

Not owning a benchmark position in Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) detracted from performance. The company reported a solid quarter during the period, and GOOG is one of the leaders in efforts to grow artificial intelligence. They announced several new products, services and features, including an expanded partnership with NVIDIA to enable innovation by customers and developers.

An overweight position to Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) detracted from performance. The stock faced pressure during the period from fears over a softer China macro backdrop, which could impact lower income customer visitation.

An overweight position to Keysight Technologies Inc. (KEYS) detracted from performance. The company reported earnings that were in-line with consensus, but weak guidance amidst slowing demand, and the company believes orders could be weaker in some markets for the next few quarters.

Current Strategy and Outlook

The U.S. economy has remained resilient as have corporate earnings, fueling the debate of a hard versus soft landing. We still believe there may be greater volatility to come given uncertainty over Fed rate policy through the end of the year; mixed business sentiment and slowing economic growth; and whether a recession will actually happen, and if so, the duration and depth. The real story has been the resilience of corporate earnings and rise in equity valuations as interest rates begin to normalize. Using price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio as a proxy, valuations for the S&P 500 Index ended 2022 well below 2019 levels. However, despite elevated rates and tightening financial conditions in the first half of the year, valuations have expanded modestly. P/E ratios are still below 2019 levels, and we believe earnings expectations are reasonable, but this could change as we enter 2024 depending on the state of the U.S. economy.

Holdings Detail

Companies mentioned in this report – percentage of Strategy investments, as of 09/30/23: Apple Inc. 9.28%, Eli Lilly and Co. 3.61%, Tradeweb Markets, Inc. 1.15%, Alphabet Inc. 3.63%, Las Vegas Sands Corp. 1.11% and Keysight Technologies Inc. 0%; 0% indicates that the security is no longer in the portfolio. Portfolio holdings are subject to daily change.

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The Russell 1000 Growth Index is an unmanaged index that measures the performance of the large-cap growth segment of the U.S. equity universe. It includes those Russell 1000 companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted directly in an index. The Index does not reflect fees, brokerage commissions, taxes or other expenses of investing. Investors cannot invest directly in an Index.

Principal Risks: All investing involves risks of fluctuating prices and the uncertainties of rates of return and yield.Growth Investing Prices of growth stocks typically reflect high expectations for future company growth, and may fall quickly and significantly if investors suspect that actual growth may be less than expected. Growth companies typically lack any dividends that might cushion price declines. Growth stocks tend to be more volatile than value stocks, and may underperform the market as a whole over any given time period. Derivative Instruments Derivative instruments are subject to a number of risks, including the risk of changes in the market price of the underlying securities, credit risk with respect to the counterparty, risk of loss due to changes in interest rates and liquidity risk. The use of certain derivatives may also have a leveraging effect which may increase the volatility of the Portfolio and reduce its returns. Other risks of the Portfolio include, but are not limited to: Liquidity, Company, Currency, Foreign Investments, Market, Other Investment Companies and Securities Lending. Investors should consider the Portfolio’s prospectus and statements of additional information for a more detailed discussion of the Portfolio’s risks. An investment in the Portfolio is not a bank deposit and is not insured or guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Federal Reserve Board or any other government agency.

The strategy employs a quantitative model to execute the strategy. Data imprecision, software or other technology malfunctions, programming inaccuracies and similar circumstances may impair the performance of these systems, which may negatively affect performance. Furthermore, there can be no assurance that the quantitative models used in managing the strategy will perform as anticipated or enable the strategy to achieve its objective.

The strategy is available as a mutual fund or variable portfolio. The mutual fund may be available to you as part of your employer sponsored retirement plan. There may be additional plan level fees resulting in personal performance that varies from stated performance. Please call your benefits office for more information.

Variable annuities and group annuities are long-term investments designed for retirement purposes. If withdrawals are taken prior to age 59½, an IRS 10% premature distribution penalty tax may apply. Money taken from the annuity will be taxed as ordinary income in the year the money is distributed. An annuity does not provide any additional tax deferral benefit, as tax deferral is provided by the plan. Annuities may be subject to additional fees and expenses to which other tax-qualified funding vehicles may not be subject. However, an annuity does provide other features and benefits, such as lifetime income payments and death benefits, which may be valuable to you.

Variable investments, of any kind, are not guaranteed and are subject to investment risk including the possible loss of principal. The investment return and principal value of the security will fluctuate so that when redeemed, it may be worth more or less than the original investment. In addition, there is no guarantee that any variable investment option will meet its stated objective. All guarantees are based on the financial strength and claims paying ability of the issuing insurance company, who is solely responsible for all obligations under its policies.

Insurance products, annuities and funding agreements issued by Voya Retirement Insurance and Annuity Company (“VRIAC”), One Orange Way, Windsor, CT 06095, which is solely responsible for meeting its obligations. Plan administrative services provided by VRIAC or Voya Institutional Plan Services, LLC (“VIPS”). Securities distributed by or offered through Voya Financial Partners, LLC (“VFP”) (member SIPC)or other broker-dealers with which it has a selling agreement. Only Voya Retirement Insurance and Annuity Company is admitted and can issue products in the state of New York. All companies are members of Voya Financial.

This commentary has been prepared by Voya Investment Management for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as (i) an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any security or (ii) a recommendation as to the advisability of investing in, purchasing or selling any security. Any opinions expressed herein reflect our judgment and are subject to change. Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management’s current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (1) general economic conditions, (2) performance of financial markets, (3) interest rate levels, (4) increasing levels of loan defaults (5) changes in laws and regulations and (6) changes in the policies of governments and/or regulatory authorities. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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