Bank building

Weekly Notable

Volatility remained a theme in markets this week despite the longest US government shutdown ending on Wednesday. While risk assets have historically risen after a reopening, the continued delay of several important economic releases weighed on investor sentiment, with market participants continuing to focus on secondary indicators. Given the delay in data and some hawkish commentary recently from FOMC members, markets are now pricing in only a 50% chance of a December rate cut, compared to 98% a month ago. In the US loan market, trading levels remained rangebound this week, as the weighted average bid price of the Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index (Index) declined by two basis points (bps) to 96.59 for the seven-day period ended November 13. Coupon income remained a key driver of performance for the Index, resulting in a positive return of 0.13%. 

New-issue activity picked up this week, with arrangers launching approximately $9.1 billion of new issuance across a wide range of transactions. Of this amount, $4.4 billion backed buyouts and other acquisitions, $3.1 billion represented refinancings, and $1.6 billion was tied to dividend recaps. Looking ahead, net of approximately $29.6 billion of anticipated repayments that aren’t associated with the forward pipeline, net supply is roughly $2.9 billion this week, after dipping to negative $926 million last week.

While overall trading levels were largely unchanged within the secondary market, CCC-rated loans continued their recent underperformance, Single-B bids were flat, and BBs experienced a modest uptick. Across industries, professional services and healthcare-related sectors were notable outperformers. 

On the demand front, CLO issuance remained busy, as managers priced 10 new deals this week. As a result, the YTD tally increased to nearly $180 billion. On the other hand, US retail loan funds recorded a second consecutive weekly inflow this week, albeit another modest influx of just $92 million, according to Morningstar. 

There were no defaults in the Index this week.

Average Bid
November 1, 2021 to November 13, 2025
Average Bid
Average 3-YR Call Secondary Spreads 1,2
November 1, 2021 to November 7, 2025
Average 3-YR Call Secondary Spreads 1,2
Lagging 12-Month Default Rate 3
November 1, 2021 to November 13, 2025
Lagging 12-Month Default Rate 3
Index Stats
Index Stats

Source: Pitchbook Data, Inc./LCD, Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index. Additional footnotes and disclosures on back page. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investors cannot invest directly in the Index. *The Index’s average nominal spread calculation includes the benefit of base rate floors (where applicable).

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Unless otherwise noted, the source for all data in this report is Pitchbook Data, Inc/LCD. Pitchbook Data/LCD does not make any representations or warranties as to the completeness, accuracy or sufficiency of the data in this report. 

1. Assumes 3 Year Maturity. Three-year maturity assumption: (i) all loans pay off at par in 3 years, (ii) discount from par is amortized evenly over the 3 years as additional spread, and (iii) no other principal payments during the 3 years. Discounted spread is calculated based upon the current bid price, not on par. Please note that Index yield data is only available on a lagging basis, thus the data demonstrated is as of October 10, 2025. 

2. Excludes facilities that are currently in default. 

3. Issuer default rate is calculated as the number of defaults over the last twelve months divided by the number of issuers in the Index at the beginning of the twelve-month period. Principal default rate is calculated as the amount defaulted over the last twelve months divided by the amount outstanding at the beginning of the twelve-month period.

General Risks for Floating Rate Senior Loans: Floating rate senior loans involve certain risks. Below investment grade assets carry a higher than normal risk that borrowers may default in the timely payment of principal and interest on their loans, which would likely cause the value of the investment to decrease. Changes in short-term market interest rates will directly affect the yield on investments in floating rate senior loans. If such rates fall, the investment’s yield will also fall. If interest rate spreads on loans decline in general, the yield on such loans will fall and the value of such loans may decrease. When short-term market interest rates rise, because of the lag between changes in such short-term rates and the resetting of the floating rates on senior loans, the impact of rising rates will be delayed to the extent of such lag. Because of the limited secondary market for floating rate senior loans, the ability to sell these loans in a timely fashion and/or at a favorable price may be limited. An increase or decrease in the demand for loans may adversely affect the loans.

This commentary has been prepared by Voya Investment Management for informational purposes. Nothing contained herein should be construed as (i) an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any security or (ii) a recommendation as to the advisability of investing in, purchasing or selling any security. Any opinions expressed herein reflect our judgment and are subject to change. Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management’s current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (1) general economic conditions, (2) performance of financial markets, (3) changes in laws and regulations and (4) changes in the policies of governments and/or regulatory authorities. The opinions, views and information expressed in this commentary regarding holdings are subject to change without notice. The information provided regarding holdings is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Fund holdings are fluid and are subject to daily change based on market conditions and other factors. 

The information contained in this document has been prepared solely for informational purposes and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell any security or to participate in any trading activity. This document is intended only for professional investors and describes a strategy only. Any products or securities that are mentioned in this document have their own particular terms and conditions, which should be consulted before entering into any transaction. In relation to all the investment funds mentioned in this document, a Financial Instruction Leaflet or simplified prospectus has been published containing all necessary information about the product, the costs and the risks involved. Do not take unnecessary risk. Read the Financial Instruction Leaflet or prospectus. Investment funds do not offer guaranteed returns and any past returns are not indicative of, nor do they secure, future returns. 

The material presented is compiled from sources thought to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein reflect our judgment at this date and are subject to change without notice. Neither Voya Investment Management nor any other company or unit belonging to Voya Financial, nor any of its officers, directors, or employees accept any liability or responsibility in respect to the information or any recommendations expressed herein. No liability is accepted for any losses sustained by readers as a result of using this publication or basing decisions on it. The value of your investments may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investments involve risk. The primary risks of investing in senior bank loans include, but are not limited to, credit risk (the risk that a borrower may default in the payment of interest and/or principal on its loans), interest rate risk (the risk that the yield on an investment will rise and fall in response to changes in market rates of interest), and market risk (the risk that the value of a loan will rise or fall in response to general economic conditions and events). Senior bank loans are typically below investment grade in quality and therefore present a greater than normal risk of default. 

This document and the information contained herein is confidential and must not be copied, reproduced, distributed, or passed to any person at any time without the prior written consent of Voya Investment Management. Dutch laws apply to this disclaimer.

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