Insights

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Silver Linings Playbook: Opportunities after Bond Market Rout

June 22, 2022

Now that yields have reset higher, bonds are positioned to protect portfolios while delivering higher income.

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Revisiting the Case for Senior Loans Amid Market Turmoil

June 16, 2022

Floating-rate income and the secured nature of senior loans may provide a valuable defense against both rising rates and higher default risk for investors able to stomach short-term volatility.

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Stability Over Cyclicals in Value’s Next Inning

May 27, 2022

The prospect of rising real interest rates favors value versus growth stocks, while moderating economic growth and persistent inflation favor inexpensive stability value names over well-priced cyclicals.

Financial conditions poised to tighten around markets

March 10, 2022

Should the Russia-Ukraine conflict persist, it would lead to further tightening of financial conditions but is unlikely to deter the Federal Reserve from a 25 basis point interest rate hike in March. Tighter conditions will slow economic growth at the margins and constrain financial markets over the short term, but not over the longer term.

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Russia invasion sparking volatility and inflation fears, but recovery remains on track

February 25, 2022
  • Economic recovery likely undeterred: Rising energy prices add risk to Europe’s recovery but are unlikely to derail the global economic recovery.
  • Expect further equity volatility: We see the strongest impacts in commodities, energy and financials, but focus should shift quickly to interest rates and supply-chain resolution.
  • Seeing value amid spread widening: We believe the impact of Russia’s actions on fixed income markets has largely played out, and any further widening in credit spreads could present opportunities.
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The Road to March

February 23, 2022

The market’s expectations for curve flattening may be excessive, as the timing of rate hikes and the aggressiveness of the Federal Reserve are still open to debate.

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