Insights

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US leveraged credit in 2023: Historically attractive yields should outweigh growing concerns

January 26, 2023

Barring a deep, prolonged recession, we expect leveraged borrowers to successfully navigate the late cycle backdrop given relatively healthy fundamentals.

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2023 outlook: The good, the bad and the unknown

December 20, 2022

For all the gloomy talk about the economy in 2023, stabilizing interest rates could be a bright spot for investors.

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Fixed income themes for 1H23: The economy's moment of truth

December 20, 2022

As we enter the new year, attention is shifting from inflation to the economy and the effects of tighter Federal Reserve policy.

Financial conditions poised to tighten around markets

March 10, 2022

Should the Russia-Ukraine conflict persist, it would lead to further tightening of financial conditions but is unlikely to deter the Federal Reserve from a 25 basis point interest rate hike in March. Tighter conditions will slow economic growth at the margins and constrain financial markets over the short term, but not over the longer term.

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Russia invasion sparking volatility and inflation fears, but recovery remains on track

February 25, 2022
  • Economic recovery likely undeterred: Rising energy prices add risk to Europe’s recovery but are unlikely to derail the global economic recovery.
  • Expect further equity volatility: We see the strongest impacts in commodities, energy and financials, but focus should shift quickly to interest rates and supply-chain resolution.
  • Seeing value amid spread widening: We believe the impact of Russia’s actions on fixed income markets has largely played out, and any further widening in credit spreads could present opportunities.
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The Road to March

February 23, 2022

The market’s expectations for curve flattening may be excessive, as the timing of rate hikes and the aggressiveness of the Federal Reserve are still open to debate.

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