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Barring a deep, prolonged recession, we expect leveraged borrowers to successfully navigate the late cycle backdrop given relatively healthy fundamentals.
For all the gloomy talk about the economy in 2023, stabilizing interest rates could be a bright spot for investors.
As we enter the new year, attention is shifting from inflation to the economy and the effects of tighter Federal Reserve policy.
Should the Russia-Ukraine conflict persist, it would lead to further tightening of financial conditions but is unlikely to deter the Federal Reserve from a 25 basis point interest rate hike in March. Tighter conditions will slow economic growth at the margins and constrain financial markets over the short term, but not over the longer term.
While it might seem better to focus on current so-called ESG leaders, we believe there is untapped value in the underappreciated ESG improvers.
The market’s expectations for curve flattening may be excessive, as the timing of rate hikes and the aggressiveness of the Federal Reserve are still open to debate.
January 1, 2022 marked a significant milestone in the transition from LIBOR to alternative reference rates.
We see scope for continued global equity gains as the impacts from Covid, policy stimulus and inflation diminish. The current balance of market factors keeps us overweight U.S. large cap stocks.
Matthew Toms, CFA, Chief Investment Officer of Fixed Income, shares our outlook for the markets for the first half of 2022.
The market’s curve flattening expectations may be excessive, as the timing of the hikes and aggressiveness of the U.S. Federal Reserve are still open to debate.
Sean Banai, CFA, Head of Portfolio Management, shares our outlook on Global Growth for the first half of 2022.
Chris Wilson, CFA, Senior Client Portfolio Manager, shares our outlook for Central Banks for the first half of 2022.