Insights

Gears

Inflation its grinding gears, looking to downshift

September 23, 2022

We expect inflation to ease despite a surprisingly high CPI reading for August, allowing the Federal Reserve to temper its aggressive pace of rate increases.

Stormy sky with lightening

The Federal Reserve will stay hawkish — what will that mean for markets?

September 8, 2022

The outlook for stocks and bonds given the expected paths of economic growth and interest rates.

Waves crashing on sandy shore

When Volatility Overstays Its Welcome, Opportunity Knocks

August 18, 2022

Elevated volatility is here to stay, and that means many risk assets may become oversold, providing opportunities for investors to profit from mispriced risks.

Market Expectations are High but Realistic

April 20, 2021

The U.S. economic outlook continues to strengthen, with accelerating vaccinations, broadening activity and government support. The global economy should accelerate, but with less certainty due to uneven vaccination progress across countries.

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The End is Near, with New Signs of Fear

March 19, 2021

We believe the economy will grow well above trend throughout 2021, as massive pent-up consumer demand is released by vaccination progress, states reopening and highly accommodative government policy.

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Slow Progress Better Than No Progress

February 19, 2021

Our outlook continues to be that economic recovery is in the offing and will broaden into synchronous, global expansion. Segments of the economy that were protected from the pandemic should stay in a healthy holding pattern.

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Where Is the Market Getting Its News?

January 25, 2021

Headlines suggest a significant disconnect between “Main Street” and “Wall Street”—a closer look at personal income and leading economic indicators reveals a different story.

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