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Fear of inflation, which has driven stocks and bonds down in tandem year to date, is expanding to fear of a growth slowdown...
Despite our view that a U.S. economic contraction is avoidable in the near term, the outlook for equities has deteriorated since the beginning of the year...
Russia’s energy tentacles, intertwined throughout Europe’s power network, may prove difficult to excise.
We have strong conviction that the U.S. and global economic expansion will continue at an above trend pace this year, and that growth will persist into 2022.
Fear of runaway inflation remains at the top of investors’ list of concerns—a closer look at the data suggests cooler heads will prevail.
The U.S. economic outlook continues to strengthen, with accelerating vaccinations, broadening activity and government support. The global economy should accelerate, but with less certainty due to uneven vaccination progress across countries.
We believe the economy will grow well above trend throughout 2021, as massive pent-up consumer demand is released by vaccination progress, states reopening and highly accommodative government policy.
Our outlook continues to be that economic recovery is in the offing and will broaden into synchronous, global expansion. Segments of the economy that were protected from the pandemic should stay in a healthy holding pattern.
Headlines suggest a significant disconnect between “Main Street” and “Wall Street”—a closer look at personal income and leading economic indicators reveals a different story.
With two COVID-19 vaccines approved in the U.S. and more fiscal stimulus about to be deployed, there is a clear bridge (vaccine) to post-COVID normalcy and abutments (stimulus) that should keep the recovery on course.
Despite the recent coronavirus surge and probable upcoming socially isolating, winter hunkering required, we think stocks can continue to hold their own against bonds.
We continue to believe that risk-assets are worth the discomfort of uncertainty.
The Bank of Japan has failed to reach its inflation target for decades—is the Fed heading down a similar path?