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Look under the hood of sizzling headline inflation, and you’ll see it starting to cool.
The repercussions of US midterm elections will be felt over the coming months and years, not days. The key is how the results are transmitted to the economy, chiefly through monetary and fiscal policy.
With many aspects of the US economy in decent shape, we believe spread widening in a recession is likely to be limited. Still, investors no longer need to overreach on risk.
Our long-term return expectations for capital markets serve as key inputs into our strategic asset allocation process for multi-asset portfolios and provide context for shorter-term forecasting.
Eyes remain firmly on the Federal Reserve, which has engineered a landscape of materially higher real and nominal rates.
Highlights from the week of November 11 – November 17, 2022
Look under the hood of sizzling headline inflation, and you’ll see it starting to cool.
The repercussions of US midterm elections will be felt over the coming months and years, not days. The key is how the results are transmitted to the economy, chiefly through monetary and fiscal policy.
Don’t be distracted by the recent well-publicized earnings misses of several tech-sector giants – stocks did well in October overall. There are larger geopolitical, macro and company-specific factors at play that call for a nuanced approach to technology and tech-related stocks.
With many aspects of the US economy in decent shape, we believe spread widening in a recession is likely to be limited. Still, investors no longer need to overreach on risk.
US markets have not taken kindly to the Fed’s renewed course of monetary tightening, but the effects of the Fed’s actions are stretching far beyond US shores.
Consumer companies that are adept at turning mountains of customer data into actionable intelligence are boosting sales and gaining market share, creating opportunities for investors.
We are cautiously optimistic about cyclical stocks. Their historically low relative value and deeply negative overall investor sentiment could be a recipe for a strong relief rally.